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Red120
177131.4
418928.9
491029.8
Blue84
83227.6
358126.3
411219.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1169205015020012084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1771
#11
31.40.0
31.431.4
Auto7.9
Teleop13.5
End10.0
red by 3.8
832
#27
27.60.0
27.627.6
Auto7.1
Teleop15.0
End5.5
Second
4910
#21
29.80.0
29.829.8
Auto7.3
Teleop19.8
End2.6
red by 3.4
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto7.5
Teleop14.0
End4.8
Third
28.90.0
28.928.9
Auto10.7
Teleop13.1
End5.1
red by 9.0
4112
#25
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End3.6