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Red103
360028.8
513232.6
408023.9
Blue147
126139.4
174639.7
581215.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103119406080140160180200103147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.60.1
32.832.7
Auto8.8
Teleop17.6
End6.2
blue by 7.1
39.70.0
39.439.4
Auto11.7
Teleop22.9
End5.1
Second
3600
#10
28.80.1
29.028.9
Auto10.3
Teleop16.2
End2.3
blue by 10.6
39.40.0
39.139.0
Auto9.8
Teleop23.1
End6.5
Third
4080
#17
23.90.1
24.023.9
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End3.6
red by 8.4
5812
#22
15.50.0
15.215.1
Auto8.4
Teleop5.9
End1.2