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Red108
360028.8
513232.6
510922.4
Blue154
126139.4
174639.7
581215.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99120406080140160180200108154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.60.1
32.732.6
Auto8.8
Teleop17.6
End6.2
blue by 7.1
39.70.3
39.439.7
Auto11.7
Teleop22.9
End5.1
Second
3600
#10
28.80.1
28.928.8
Auto10.3
Teleop16.2
End2.3
blue by 10.6
39.40.3
39.039.4
Auto9.8
Teleop23.1
End6.5
Third
5109
#24
22.40.1
22.522.4
Auto6.6
Teleop12.4
End3.5
red by 6.9
5812
#22
15.50.3
15.115.5
Auto8.4
Teleop5.9
End1.2