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Red126
126139.4
174639.7
581215.5
Blue97
168327.4
553626.7
474927.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119100608014016018020012697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.70.1
39.139.2
Auto11.7
Teleop22.9
End5.1
red by 12.2
4749
#15
27.50.1
27.627.5
Auto9.4
Teleop12.8
End5.3
Second
39.40.1
38.738.8
Auto9.8
Teleop23.1
End6.5
red by 12.0
1683
#12
27.40.1
27.527.4
Auto7.3
Teleop15.0
End5.1
Third
5812
#22
15.50.1
14.814.9
Auto8.4
Teleop5.9
End1.2
blue by 11.3
26.70.1
26.826.7
Auto8.0
Teleop14.5
End4.2