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Red129
533228.9
563232.6
559414.9
Blue170
177131.9
560827.6
100224.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9610550150129170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.60.2
32.532.7
Auto8.3
Teleop19.1
End5.1
red by 0.6
1771
#14
31.90.8
31.232.1
Auto5.0
Teleop19.3
End7.7
Second
5332
#13
28.90.2
28.829.0
Auto7.7
Teleop17.1
End4.0
red by 1.3
27.60.8
26.927.8
Auto5.5
Teleop16.9
End5.2
Third
5594
#25
14.90.2
14.815.0
Auto2.9
Teleop10.0
End2.0
blue by 10.0
1002
#20
24.90.8
24.225.1
Auto7.1
Teleop14.2
End3.6