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Red65
177131.9
360028.8
602319.4
Blue62
179515.6
590020.9
510922.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions774801001506562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1771
#14
31.90.7
26.826.1
Auto5.0
Teleop19.3
End7.7
red by 9.5
5109
#24
22.40.8
18.719.5
Auto6.6
Teleop12.4
End3.5
Second
3600
#10
28.80.7
24.924.2
Auto10.3
Teleop16.2
End2.3
red by 7.9
5900
#11
20.90.8
13.614.3
Auto5.2
Teleop12.4
End3.4
Third
6023
#28
19.40.7
19.118.4
Auto2.8
Teleop13.9
End2.7
red by 3.8
1795
#32
15.60.8
18.419.1
Auto5.3
Teleop7.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned17%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed