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Red71
560827.6
474927.5
558221.5
Blue85
563232.6
446834.4
168327.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7396501507185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.2
26.426.1
Auto5.5
Teleop16.9
End5.2
blue by 6.8
34.40.3
33.132.8
Auto11.8
Teleop18.0
End4.5
Second
4749
#15
27.50.2
30.430.2
Auto9.4
Teleop12.8
End5.3
blue by 5.1
32.60.3
32.231.9
Auto8.3
Teleop19.1
End5.1
Third
5582
#21
21.50.2
17.417.2
Auto2.5
Teleop14.9
End4.1
blue by 5.9
1683
#12
27.40.3
24.524.2
Auto7.3
Teleop15.0
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned