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Red76
369419.5
558221.5
360028.8
Blue85
418924.6
560827.6
491031.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5884020401001201401607685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3600
#10
28.81.0
24.225.2
Auto10.3
Teleop16.2
End2.3
blue by 3.1
4910
#16
31.90.4
26.927.4
Auto9.8
Teleop17.0
End5.1
Second
5582
#21
21.51.0
17.218.2
Auto2.5
Teleop14.9
End4.1
blue by 6.1
27.60.4
26.126.6
Auto5.5
Teleop16.9
End5.2
Third
3694
#29
19.51.0
19.320.3
Auto5.0
Teleop11.8
End2.7
blue by 5.1
4189
#30
24.60.4
25.225.6
Auto9.6
Teleop11.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed