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Red87
559414.9
446834.4
553626.7
Blue79
513232.6
326519.6
510922.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72680204060801001201408779

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.41.2
32.834.0
Auto11.8
Teleop18.0
End4.5
red by 1.8
32.60.8
29.630.4
Auto8.8
Teleop17.6
End6.2
Second
26.71.2
23.724.9
Auto8.0
Teleop14.5
End4.2
red by 4.3
5109
#24
22.40.8
19.520.3
Auto6.6
Teleop12.4
End3.5
Third
5594
#25
14.91.2
13.114.2
Auto2.9
Teleop10.0
End2.0
blue by 4.7
3265
#34
19.60.8
17.818.6
Auto2.5
Teleop12.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned58%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed