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Red81
602319.4
558221.5
357318.7
Blue85
533228.9
177131.9
369419.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions508301001502008185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5582
#21
21.51.8
18.220.0
Auto2.5
Teleop14.9
End4.1
blue by 10.4
1771
#14
31.90.3
30.030.3
Auto5.0
Teleop19.3
End7.7
Second
6023
#28
19.41.8
18.420.2
Auto2.8
Teleop13.9
End2.7
blue by 9.5
5332
#13
28.90.3
25.826.1
Auto7.7
Teleop17.1
End4.0
Third
3573
#19
18.71.8
17.319.1
Auto5.1
Teleop10.7
End2.9
blue by 0.8
3694
#29
19.50.3
20.320.5
Auto5.0
Teleop11.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed