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Red67
179515.6
126139.4
141416.7
Blue64
423512.2
513232.6
418924.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7866020401001201401606764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.40.5
38.237.7
Auto9.8
Teleop23.1
End6.5
red by 6.8
32.60.5
30.430.0
Auto8.8
Teleop17.6
End6.2
Second
1414
#26
16.70.5
16.616.1
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End2.4
blue by 7.9
4189
#30
24.60.5
25.625.2
Auto9.6
Teleop11.3
End3.7
Third
1795
#32
15.60.5
19.619.1
Auto5.3
Teleop7.6
End2.7
red by 3.4
4235
#31
12.20.5
9.89.4
Auto5.5
Teleop6.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned68%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed