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Red66
369419.5
513232.6
553626.7
Blue53
131123.7
521914.3
126139.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71746080906653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.60.6
27.126.5
Auto8.8
Teleop17.6
End6.2
blue by 6.8
39.41.2
37.436.2
Auto9.8
Teleop23.1
End6.5
Second
26.70.6
23.222.7
Auto8.0
Teleop14.5
End4.2
red by 3.0
1311
#18
23.71.2
20.619.4
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End2.7
Third
3694
#29
19.50.6
19.118.5
Auto5.0
Teleop11.8
End2.7
red by 5.2
5219
#27
14.31.4
13.211.8
Auto1.3
Teleop11.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsMissed83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed