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Red45
558221.5
179515.6
408023.9
Blue55
559414.9
83230.4
357318.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46550204060801004555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4080
#17
23.90.7
17.416.7
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End3.6
blue by 6.5
832
#7
30.40.1
25.425.3
Auto7.3
Teleop18.0
End5.1
Second
5582
#21
21.50.8
12.611.8
Auto2.5
Teleop14.9
End4.1
red by 2.8
3573
#19
18.70.1
13.613.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.7
End2.9
Third
1795
#32
15.60.7
15.815.1
Auto5.3
Teleop7.6
End2.7
red by 0.7
5594
#25
14.90.1
12.912.8
Auto2.9
Teleop10.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsMissed48%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed