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Red102
174639.7
521914.3
533228.9
Blue64
418924.6
179515.6
474927.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8369020406010012014010264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.71.2
37.739.0
Auto11.7
Teleop22.9
End5.1
red by 12.2
4749
#15
27.50.3
28.127.8
Auto9.4
Teleop12.8
End5.3
Second
5332
#13
28.91.2
27.628.8
Auto7.7
Teleop17.1
End4.0
red by 4.3
4189
#30
24.60.3
25.024.6
Auto9.6
Teleop11.3
End3.7
Third
5219
#27
14.31.2
13.114.3
Auto1.3
Teleop11.6
End1.4
blue by 1.3
1795
#32
15.60.3
15.915.6
Auto5.3
Teleop7.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed