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Red78
168327.4
553626.7
602319.4
Blue99
581215.5
360028.8
408023.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7860020401001201401607899

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1683
#12
27.40.3
27.427.7
Auto7.3
Teleop15.0
End5.1
blue by 1.4
3600
#10
28.81.9
26.628.5
Auto10.3
Teleop16.2
End2.3
Second
26.70.3
26.727.0
Auto8.0
Teleop14.5
End4.2
red by 2.8
4080
#17
23.91.9
21.623.4
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End3.6
Third
6023
#28
19.40.3
19.019.4
Auto2.8
Teleop13.9
End2.7
red by 3.9
5812
#22
15.51.9
12.914.7
Auto8.4
Teleop5.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned49%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned