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Red96
126139.4
100224.9
446834.4
Blue116
559414.9
241540.6
491031.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1048405015020096116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.40.5
39.138.6
Auto9.8
Teleop23.1
End6.5
blue by 1.2
40.60.7
39.540.3
Auto9.0
Teleop25.4
End6.2
Second
34.40.5
34.534.0
Auto11.8
Teleop18.0
End4.5
red by 2.5
4910
#16
31.90.7
31.231.9
Auto9.8
Teleop17.0
End5.1
Third
1002
#20
24.90.5
24.724.2
Auto7.1
Teleop14.2
End3.6
red by 10.0
5594
#25
14.90.7
14.114.8
Auto2.9
Teleop10.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed