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Red109
241540.6
446834.4
411211.9
Blue108
360028.8
513232.6
408023.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1121046080120140160180109108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.60.1
41.241.1
Auto9.0
Teleop25.4
End6.2
red by 8.0
32.60.0
32.532.5
Auto8.8
Teleop17.6
End6.2
Second
34.40.1
35.034.9
Auto11.8
Teleop18.0
End4.5
red by 5.6
3600
#10
28.80.0
28.728.7
Auto10.3
Teleop16.2
End2.3
Third
4112
#33
11.90.1
12.512.4
Auto3.9
Teleop5.3
End2.7
blue by 12.0
4080
#17
23.90.0
23.723.6
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End3.6