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Red152
241540.6
446834.4
411211.9
Blue42
558221.5
590020.9
357318.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1176505010015020015242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.60.4
40.841.2
Auto9.0
Teleop25.4
End6.2
red by 19.1
5582
#21
21.50.5
21.921.5
Auto2.5
Teleop14.9
End4.1
Second
34.40.4
34.635.0
Auto11.8
Teleop18.0
End4.5
red by 13.4
5900
#11
20.90.5
21.420.9
Auto5.2
Teleop12.4
End3.4
Third
4112
#33
11.90.4
12.112.5
Auto3.9
Teleop5.3
End2.7
blue by 6.8
3573
#19
18.70.5
19.218.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.7
End2.9