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Red54
241540.6
446834.4
411211.9
Blue110
360028.8
513232.6
408023.9
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112104608012014016018054110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.60.8
41.140.4
Auto9.0
Teleop25.4
End6.2
red by 8.0
32.60.0
32.532.5
Auto8.8
Teleop17.6
End6.2
Second
34.40.8
34.934.1
Auto11.8
Teleop18.0
End4.5
red by 5.6
3600
#10
28.80.0
28.728.7
Auto10.3
Teleop16.2
End2.3
Third
4112
#33
11.90.8
12.411.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.3
End2.7
blue by 12.0
4080
#17
23.90.0
23.623.7
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End3.6