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Red137
241540.6
446834.4
411211.9
Blue149
360028.8
513232.6
408023.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091046080120140160137149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.60.2
40.440.6
Auto9.0
Teleop25.4
End6.2
red by 8.0
32.60.3
32.532.8
Auto8.8
Teleop17.6
End6.2
Second
34.40.2
34.134.4
Auto11.8
Teleop18.0
End4.5
red by 5.6
3600
#10
28.80.3
28.729.0
Auto10.3
Teleop16.2
End2.3
Third
4112
#33
11.90.2
11.611.9
Auto3.9
Teleop5.3
End2.7
blue by 12.0
4080
#17
23.90.3
23.724.0
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End3.6