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Red109
360028.8
513232.6
408023.9
Blue95
491031.9
83230.4
131123.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10310905015020025010995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.60.0
32.332.3
Auto8.8
Teleop17.6
End6.2
red by 0.7
4910
#16
31.90.2
31.931.7
Auto9.8
Teleop17.0
End5.1
Second
3600
#10
28.80.0
28.528.5
Auto10.3
Teleop16.2
End2.3
blue by 1.6
832
#7
30.40.2
30.530.3
Auto7.3
Teleop18.0
End5.1
Third
4080
#17
23.90.0
23.423.4
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End3.6
red by 0.2
1311
#18
23.70.2
23.723.5
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End2.7