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Red124
126139.4
174639.7
581215.5
Blue130
533228.9
563232.6
559414.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12096406080140160180200124130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.70.0
39.239.2
Auto11.7
Teleop22.9
End5.1
red by 7.2
32.60.2
33.033.2
Auto8.3
Teleop19.1
End5.1
Second
39.40.0
38.838.8
Auto9.8
Teleop23.1
End6.5
red by 10.5
5332
#13
28.90.2
29.429.5
Auto7.7
Teleop17.1
End4.0
Third
5812
#22
15.50.0
14.914.9
Auto8.4
Teleop5.9
End1.2
red by 0.6
5594
#25
14.90.2
15.415.5
Auto2.9
Teleop10.0
End2.0