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Quarterfinal 2-22016 PCH District - Kennesaw Event
Red141
360028.8
513232.6
408023.9
Blue114
491031.9
83230.4
131123.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103108050150200250300141114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5132
#6
32.60.3
32.3→32.5
Auto8.8
Teleop17.6
End6.2
red by 0.7
4910
#16
31.90.2
31.7→31.9
Auto9.8
Teleop17.0
End5.1
Second
3600
#10
28.80.3
28.5→28.7
Auto10.3
Teleop16.2
End2.3
blue by 1.6
832
#7
30.40.2
30.3→30.4
Auto7.3
Teleop18.0
End5.1
Third
4080
#17
23.90.3
23.4→23.7
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End3.6
red by 0.2
1311
#18
23.70.2
23.5→23.7
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End2.7