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Red156
126139.4
174639.7
581215.5
Blue101
533228.9
563232.6
559414.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1209650150200156101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.70.1
39.239.3
Auto11.7
Teleop22.9
End5.1
red by 7.2
32.60.2
33.233.0
Auto8.3
Teleop19.1
End5.1
Second
39.40.1
38.838.9
Auto9.8
Teleop23.1
End6.5
red by 10.5
5332
#13
28.90.2
29.529.4
Auto7.7
Teleop17.1
End4.0
Third
5812
#22
15.50.1
14.915.0
Auto8.4
Teleop5.9
End1.2
red by 0.6
5594
#25
14.90.2
15.515.4
Auto2.9
Teleop10.0
End2.0