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Red87
133930.1
24539.5
263837.5
Blue142
544843.2
55852.7
582720.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113119608010014016018087142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#20
39.51.6
40.038.4
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End3.2
blue by 13.2
558
#8
52.71.8
54.155.9
Auto11.1
Teleop30.1
End11.5
Second
2638
#66
37.51.6
39.337.7
Auto9.0
Teleop24.2
End4.2
blue by 5.8
5448
#44
43.21.8
41.243.0
Auto15.7
Teleop18.1
End9.4
Third
1339
#30
30.11.6
31.630.0
Auto8.2
Teleop16.8
End5.1
red by 9.7
5827
#54
20.51.8
19.721.5
Auto6.6
Teleop10.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
34%Capture oddsMissed54%Capture oddsEarned