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Red120
581346.0
93229.0
593027.1
Blue137
587221.7
34149.4
49451.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93124406080140160180200120137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.01.0
42.843.8
Auto9.3
Teleop31.8
End4.9
blue by 5.5
494
#9
51.51.1
49.850.9
Auto15.8
Teleop29.6
End6.1
Second
932
#59
29.01.0
27.628.6
Auto6.8
Teleop17.4
End4.7
blue by 20.4
341
#6
49.41.1
45.946.9
Auto13.3
Teleop25.3
End10.8
Third
5930
#47
27.11.0
24.325.3
Auto9.2
Teleop14.5
End3.3
red by 5.3
5872
#73
21.71.1
20.521.5
Auto5.0
Teleop13.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsEarned31%Capture oddsMissed