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Red148
429030.8
87043.8
243943.2
Blue92
505717.8
392629.3
170140.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1247905010015014892

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#46
43.81.6
42.143.7
Auto10.7
Teleop23.5
End9.6
red by 3.7
1701
#22
40.10.6
37.538.1
Auto10.2
Teleop24.5
End5.4
Second
2439
#21
43.21.6
41.242.8
Auto11.7
Teleop23.8
End7.7
red by 13.9
3926
#72
29.30.6
28.729.3
Auto5.9
Teleop17.7
End5.8
Third
4290
#35
30.81.6
30.932.5
Auto9.0
Teleop17.5
End4.3
red by 13.0
5057
#58
17.80.6
17.417.9
Auto7.1
Teleop8.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsEarned7%Capture oddsMissed