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Red90
619333.3
569029.5
312829.5
Blue88
120920.3
438439.6
616629.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94974060801201401609088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6193
#42
33.30.1
33.233.1
Auto8.1
Teleop20.7
End4.5
blue by 6.3
4384
#24
39.61.1
40.739.6
Auto9.1
Teleop24.9
End5.6
Second
3128
#40
29.50.1
29.629.5
Auto7.6
Teleop17.0
End4.9
blue by 0.1
6166
#16
29.71.1
30.729.7
Auto7.9
Teleop16.8
End4.9
Third
5690
#38
29.50.1
28.628.5
Auto9.7
Teleop13.5
End6.3
red by 9.1
1209
#51
20.31.1
22.421.3
Auto1.5
Teleop15.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned9%Capture oddsMissed