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Red107
392629.3
33333.7
250236.6
Blue110
62331.4
17543.7
263837.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10211950150200107110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2502
#48
36.60.0
37.938.0
Auto9.4
Teleop21.3
End5.9
blue by 7.1
175
#14
43.70.2
43.743.4
Auto9.5
Teleop24.5
End9.7
Second
333
#10
33.70.0
34.534.5
Auto11.0
Teleop19.0
End3.8
blue by 3.7
2638
#66
37.50.2
37.737.5
Auto9.0
Teleop24.2
End4.2
Third
3926
#72
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto5.9
Teleop17.7
End5.8
blue by 2.1
623
#45
31.40.2
31.831.6
Auto9.7
Teleop14.2
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed34%Capture oddsMissed