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Red72
452530.0
401317.3
228327.5
Blue109
585530.6
601225.5
243943.2
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions741065015072109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4525
#37
30.00.6
30.630.0
Auto7.4
Teleop17.6
End5.0
blue by 13.2
2439
#21
43.20.4
42.843.2
Auto11.7
Teleop23.8
End7.7
Second
2283
#56
27.50.6
28.127.5
Auto9.5
Teleop13.8
End4.2
blue by 3.1
5855
#57
30.60.4
30.230.6
Auto8.9
Teleop15.0
End6.7
Third
4013
#75
17.30.6
17.917.3
Auto3.0
Teleop10.8
End3.5
blue by 8.2
6012
#70
25.50.4
25.125.5
Auto6.9
Teleop14.7
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsMissed