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Red95
6838.3
524321.1
119736.3
Blue80
8828.6
429030.8
246841.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95111204060801201401609580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#26
38.30.0
38.338.3
Auto11.3
Teleop22.3
End4.8
blue by 3.5
2468
#19
41.91.7
42.941.2
Auto9.3
Teleop29.5
End3.1
Second
1197
#52
36.30.0
35.435.5
Auto10.7
Teleop21.8
End3.9
red by 5.5
4290
#35
30.81.7
32.530.8
Auto9.0
Teleop17.5
End4.3
Third
5243
#49
21.10.0
21.021.1
Auto8.5
Teleop9.7
End2.9
blue by 7.5
88
#68
28.61.7
30.328.6
Auto7.1
Teleop18.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
9%Capture oddsMissed57%Capture oddsMissed