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Qual 122016 Galileo Division
Red71
440331.8
619333.3
53821.5
Blue127
353942.4
133930.1
33333.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8410205015020071127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6193
#42
33.30.9
31.5→30.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.7
End4.5
blue by 9.1
3539
#5
42.42.0
37.8→39.8
Auto9.3
Teleop29.0
End4.1
Second
4403
#55
31.80.9
31.6→30.7
Auto7.1
Teleop19.8
End4.9
blue by 1.9
333
#10
33.72.0
31.3→33.3
Auto11.0
Teleop19.0
End3.8
Third
538
#69
21.50.9
20.8→19.9
Auto6.4
Teleop12.2
End2.9
blue by 8.6
1339
#30
30.12.0
27.5→29.5
Auto8.2
Teleop16.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed