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Red74
500631.9
120920.3
474025.8
Blue94
298736.0
392629.3
115342.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions711150501001502007494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5006
#18
31.91.1
31.430.3
Auto9.9
Teleop17.2
End4.9
blue by 10.6
1153
#13
42.50.7
42.541.8
Auto11.0
Teleop26.5
End5.0
Second
4740
#43
25.81.4
24.323.0
Auto6.5
Teleop14.6
End4.8
blue by 10.2
2987
#11
36.01.0
32.031.0
Auto8.4
Teleop22.2
End5.5
Third
1209
#51
20.31.5
20.018.5
Auto1.5
Teleop15.5
End3.3
blue by 9.0
3926
#72
29.31.0
29.828.8
Auto5.9
Teleop17.7
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsMissed