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Red127
582720.5
429030.8
98756.7
Blue80
106538.1
312829.5
301824.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1238505010015020012780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#4
56.70.1
59.659.5
Auto15.9
Teleop34.1
End6.7
red by 18.6
1065
#27
38.10.6
39.038.5
Auto9.0
Teleop23.7
End5.5
Second
4290
#35
30.80.1
31.731.5
Auto9.0
Teleop17.5
End4.3
red by 1.3
3128
#40
29.50.6
27.927.3
Auto7.6
Teleop17.0
End4.9
Third
5827
#54
20.50.1
22.522.4
Auto6.6
Teleop10.4
End3.5
blue by 3.6
3018
#64
24.10.6
21.420.9
Auto10.0
Teleop10.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
67%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed