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Red106
400934.8
243943.2
93229.0
Blue117
24539.5
368349.0
524321.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10111350150200106117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2439
#21
43.20.4
37.237.6
Auto11.7
Teleop23.8
End7.7
blue by 5.9
49.00.6
48.348.8
Auto11.3
Teleop25.6
End12.1
Second
4009
#36
34.80.4
35.736.1
Auto10.7
Teleop19.6
End4.5
blue by 4.7
245
#20
39.50.6
36.336.9
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End3.2
Third
932
#59
29.00.4
27.027.4
Auto6.8
Teleop17.4
End4.7
red by 7.9
5243
#49
21.10.6
23.824.4
Auto8.5
Teleop9.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned14%Capture oddsEarned