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Red115
36549.5
452530.0
415925.6
Blue98
406339.4
433028.4
569029.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions799805015020025011598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#3
49.52.4
37.539.9
Auto12.8
Teleop28.8
End7.9
red by 10.1
4063
#29
39.40.3
40.941.3
Auto8.9
Teleop23.5
End7.1
Second
4525
#37
30.02.4
23.726.1
Auto7.4
Teleop17.6
End5.0
red by 0.5
5690
#38
29.50.5
28.328.8
Auto9.7
Teleop13.5
End6.3
Third
4159
#41
25.62.4
18.020.4
Auto5.2
Teleop17.0
End3.4
blue by 2.8
4330
#67
28.40.3
23.623.9
Auto5.6
Teleop18.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed