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Red122
55852.7
119736.3
62331.4
Blue84
17645.5
433028.4
462523.3
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126915015020012284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#8
52.70.3
49.149.4
Auto11.1
Teleop30.1
End11.5
red by 7.2
176
#12
45.50.6
47.446.8
Auto7.8
Teleop28.1
End9.6
Second
1197
#52
36.30.3
37.637.9
Auto10.7
Teleop21.8
End3.9
red by 7.9
4330
#67
28.40.6
23.923.3
Auto5.6
Teleop18.6
End4.2
Third
623
#45
31.40.3
30.931.2
Auto9.7
Teleop14.2
End7.5
red by 8.1
4625
#74
23.30.6
22.121.4
Auto7.7
Teleop12.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
13%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsMissed