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Red89
17543.7
170140.1
501230.4
Blue123
312829.5
36549.5
8828.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1241025015020089123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#14
43.72.2
40.738.5
Auto9.5
Teleop24.5
End9.7
blue by 5.8
365
#3
49.51.1
39.941.0
Auto12.8
Teleop28.8
End7.9
Second
1701
#22
40.12.2
43.641.4
Auto10.2
Teleop24.5
End5.4
red by 10.6
3128
#40
29.51.1
27.328.4
Auto7.6
Teleop17.0
End4.9
Third
5012
#65
30.42.2
32.830.6
Auto9.4
Teleop15.4
End5.6
red by 1.8
88
#68
28.61.1
34.635.7
Auto7.1
Teleop18.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
36%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsEarned