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Red74
400934.8
120920.3
53821.5
Blue115
112446.9
584627.8
415925.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74915010015074115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4009
#36
34.80.4
36.135.8
Auto10.7
Teleop19.6
End4.5
blue by 12.0
1124
#32
46.91.6
37.839.4
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End10.6
Second
538
#69
21.50.4
19.919.5
Auto6.4
Teleop12.2
End2.9
blue by 6.3
5846
#34
27.81.6
28.229.8
Auto7.9
Teleop14.8
End5.2
Third
1209
#51
20.30.4
18.518.0
Auto1.5
Teleop15.5
End3.3
blue by 5.2
4159
#41
25.61.6
20.421.9
Auto5.2
Teleop17.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned59%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsMissed