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Red69
392629.3
27931.2
585530.6
Blue97
353942.4
593027.1
24539.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86106501502006997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
279
#31
31.21.5
27.626.1
Auto6.1
Teleop15.1
End9.9
blue by 11.2
42.40.5
39.839.3
Auto9.3
Teleop29.0
End4.1
Second
5855
#57
30.61.2
30.529.3
Auto8.9
Teleop15.0
End6.7
blue by 8.9
245
#20
39.50.5
36.936.4
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End3.2
Third
3926
#72
29.31.6
28.827.2
Auto5.9
Teleop17.7
End5.8
red by 2.3
5930
#47
27.10.6
23.122.5
Auto9.2
Teleop14.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsMissed