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Red95
500631.9
246841.9
438439.6
Blue85
406339.4
440331.8
34149.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119122901001101301401509585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#19
41.91.4
42.340.9
Auto9.3
Teleop29.5
End3.1
blue by 7.5
341
#6
49.42.2
46.444.1
Auto13.3
Teleop25.3
End10.8
Second
4384
#24
39.61.4
43.442.0
Auto9.1
Teleop24.9
End5.6
red by 0.2
4063
#29
39.42.2
41.339.1
Auto8.9
Teleop23.5
End7.1
Third
5006
#18
31.91.4
30.328.9
Auto9.9
Teleop17.2
End4.9
red by 0.1
4403
#55
31.82.2
30.728.5
Auto7.1
Teleop19.8
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
72%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsMissed