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Red59
401317.3
474025.8
616629.7
Blue107
133930.1
445032.9
93229.0
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6410705015020059107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6166
#16
29.71.3
28.927.6
Auto7.9
Teleop16.8
End4.9
blue by 3.2
4450
#60
32.90.1
41.241.1
Auto4.9
Teleop20.5
End7.4
Second
4740
#43
25.81.1
23.021.9
Auto6.5
Teleop14.6
End4.8
blue by 4.3
1339
#30
30.10.1
29.529.4
Auto8.2
Teleop16.8
End5.1
Third
4013
#75
17.31.0
16.615.7
Auto3.0
Teleop10.8
End3.5
blue by 11.7
932
#59
29.00.1
27.427.3
Auto6.8
Teleop17.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsMissed