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Qual 242016 Galileo Division
Red153
19568.0
243943.2
452530.0
Blue106
234131.2
619333.3
102348.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13410750150200153106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
68.01.8
62.9→64.6
Auto20.2
Teleop37.0
End10.8
red by 19.2
1023
#28
48.70.1
48.4→48.3
Auto10.3
Teleop28.4
End10.0
Second
2439
#21
43.21.8
37.6→39.3
Auto11.7
Teleop23.8
End7.7
red by 9.9
6193
#42
33.30.1
30.7→30.6
Auto8.1
Teleop20.7
End4.5
Third
4525
#37
30.01.8
26.1→27.9
Auto7.4
Teleop17.6
End5.0
blue by 1.3
2341
#63
31.20.1
28.6→28.5
Auto8.6
Teleop15.9
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
21%Capture oddsEarned8%Capture oddsMissed