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Red73
228327.5
62331.4
593027.1
Blue172
19568.0
438439.6
581346.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7016305010020025030073172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#45
31.40.6
31.230.6
Auto9.7
Teleop14.2
End7.5
blue by 36.5
195
#1
68.01.9
64.666.5
Auto20.2
Teleop37.0
End10.8
Second
2283
#56
27.50.6
27.727.2
Auto9.5
Teleop13.8
End4.2
blue by 18.5
46.01.9
37.539.4
Auto9.3
Teleop31.8
End4.9
Third
5930
#47
27.10.6
22.521.9
Auto9.2
Teleop14.5
End3.3
blue by 12.6
4384
#24
39.61.9
42.043.9
Auto9.1
Teleop24.9
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed83%Capture oddsEarned