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Qual 312016 Galileo Division
Red97
49451.5
243943.2
582720.5
Blue132
246841.9
353942.4
298736.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141139010011012013014097132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#9
51.50.8
48.8→48.0
Auto15.8
Teleop29.6
End6.1
red by 9.1
3539
#5
42.40.6
39.3→39.9
Auto9.3
Teleop29.0
End4.1
Second
2439
#21
43.20.8
39.3→38.5
Auto11.7
Teleop23.8
End7.7
red by 1.3
2468
#19
41.90.6
40.9→41.5
Auto9.3
Teleop29.5
End3.1
Third
5827
#54
20.50.8
20.9→20.1
Auto6.6
Teleop10.4
End3.5
blue by 15.6
2987
#11
36.00.8
32.1→32.9
Auto8.4
Teleop22.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
33%Capture oddsMissed15%Capture oddsEarned