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Red106
368349.0
102348.7
494530.2
Blue114
6838.3
17543.7
293531.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13910450150200106114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.01.6
49.247.6
Auto11.3
Teleop25.6
End12.1
red by 5.4
175
#14
43.70.5
38.539.0
Auto9.5
Teleop24.5
End9.7
Second
1023
#28
48.71.6
48.346.7
Auto10.3
Teleop28.4
End10.0
red by 10.4
68
#26
38.30.5
35.836.3
Auto11.3
Teleop22.3
End4.8
Third
4945
#62
30.21.6
32.631.0
Auto9.1
Teleop18.1
End3.1
blue by 0.8
2935
#23
31.00.5
31.832.4
Auto10.3
Teleop14.6
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
34%Capture oddsMissed35%Capture oddsMissed