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Red114
312829.5
133930.1
55852.7
Blue88
587221.7
115342.5
112446.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112985015020011488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#8
52.70.4
49.449.9
Auto11.1
Teleop30.1
End11.5
red by 5.8
1124
#32
46.90.6
39.438.8
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End10.6
Second
1339
#30
30.10.4
29.429.9
Auto8.2
Teleop16.8
End5.1
blue by 12.4
1153
#13
42.50.6
40.439.8
Auto11.0
Teleop26.5
End5.0
Third
3128
#40
29.50.4
28.428.9
Auto7.6
Teleop17.0
End4.9
red by 7.8
5872
#73
21.70.6
17.116.5
Auto5.0
Teleop13.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed18%Capture oddsMissed