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Red105
378623.4
617526.6
363737.1
Blue92
619333.3
415925.6
392629.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768305010015020010592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3637
#33
37.11.7
33.435.1
Auto11.7
Teleop19.5
End5.9
red by 3.7
6193
#42
33.30.8
30.631.4
Auto8.1
Teleop20.7
End4.5
Second
6175
#17
26.62.1
18.520.5
Auto10.7
Teleop11.5
End4.3
blue by 2.7
3926
#72
29.31.0
27.228.2
Auto5.9
Teleop17.7
End5.8
Third
3786
#71
23.41.7
23.024.7
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End3.2
blue by 2.1
4159
#41
25.60.8
21.922.8
Auto5.2
Teleop17.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed