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Red97
53821.5
438439.6
368349.0
Blue93
87043.8
585530.6
301824.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12089501001502009793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.01.0
47.646.6
Auto11.3
Teleop25.6
End12.1
red by 5.2
870
#46
43.80.2
40.940.7
Auto10.7
Teleop23.5
End9.6
Second
4384
#24
39.61.0
43.942.9
Auto9.1
Teleop24.9
End5.6
red by 9.0
5855
#57
30.60.2
29.128.9
Auto8.9
Teleop15.0
End6.7
Third
538
#69
21.51.0
20.319.3
Auto6.4
Teleop12.2
End2.9
blue by 2.6
3018
#64
24.10.2
20.920.7
Auto10.0
Teleop10.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
41%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed