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Red114
505717.8
102348.7
353942.4
Blue104
8828.6
93229.0
55852.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106118050150200114104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#28
48.70.3
46.747.0
Auto10.3
Teleop28.4
End10.0
blue by 3.9
558
#8
52.70.6
49.949.3
Auto11.1
Teleop30.1
End11.5
Second
42.40.3
39.940.3
Auto9.3
Teleop29.0
End4.1
red by 13.4
932
#59
29.00.6
28.127.5
Auto6.8
Teleop17.4
End4.7
Third
5057
#58
17.80.3
17.818.1
Auto7.1
Teleop8.1
End2.6
blue by 10.8
88
#68
28.60.6
35.034.4
Auto7.1
Teleop18.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed14%Capture oddsEarned